Another day and
another appalling calculator, and a generally imprudent commercial idea with
adverse bias written all over it. While
Big Data could easily be used to help support the question “should I have a
baby?”, this newly wide-spread application sadly
fails as being the solution, including for so many non-financial reasons.
* confidence in continued income growth
* current age
* health/longevity expectations
* estimated child care expenses
* any existing babies
* and most prominent, one’s enthusiasm in being a parent!
Among the many actuarial
considerations they evade, and without which will easily lead to inevitably false
signals are:
* career compatibility
with having a baby* confidence in continued income growth
* current age
* health/longevity expectations
* estimated child care expenses
* any existing babies
* and most prominent, one’s enthusiasm in being a parent!
Today some are also
on the fence about having one child, and then wind up through the pregnancy
process with twins or triplets! This topic of having
children in society is an important one for us all to consider, as there are vital
benefits and expenses to be allocated. If
we simply let people foolishly dispense private information in pursuit of computer-aided guidance on something so central
to them, then we should at least have additional features to these sorts of
websites. Such as robust margin of errors
presented, and details on what data sources and modeling techniques were
applied.
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