Relative to White applicants, Asian applicants to Harvard have
higher quantitative academic scores. Yet remarkably a statistically smaller
portion of them are offered admission. Is this discrimination? Better yet, is this a problem? I am an Asian Harvard alumnus (graduate department
of statistics) and another Asian Harvard classmate (physicist Peter Lu) reached out to me on this recent class-action court case. While there isn’t enough public information to
engage on every imperative aspect of this, here are some notes from analyzing the dueling court briefings and model statistics (many thousands of pages). In a nutshell, the picture is quite multi-dimensional; let’s elaborate on some of the things that
stand out.
The plaintiff’s (student applicants) case rests mostly on the idea that the types of candidates
within a race are equal, and hence contrasting quantitative averages is an easy
exercise. But there is more to this
story, and some of it goes beyond admissions data. The very best Asians apply to Harvard. They do exceed other ethnic/race
category on quantitative measures. Is this not to be admired?
The briefing material asserts Asians appear less diverse as a subset of the
applicant pool (e.g., geographically, academic interests, legacy or athletic attributes) How does one balance getting the
best of the best Asian applicants, though a more concentrated set of Asian applicants? This is just one of many issues to sort
through.
Now we have the circumstance (mathematically analyzable) of giving preferential boosts based on personality
scores or whether someone was a lineage applicant (i.e., legacy). Some ask if this is a fair variable to
begin with, and whether it should be open to public discourse. There can also be unintended consequences.
For the personality assessment, this is obvious and open to scoring maltreatment among the admissions committee. Per the briefing data, it does move the
needle in these cases for determining admission outcomes.
The defendant’s (my
Alma Mater Harvard) case suggests that there are too many variables to
assess diversity, and in such a way that it is difficult to prove discrimination
against any particular applicant. For
example, if we look at
near-perfect test scores as the only admission’s criteria, then you could
populate each class size, many times over.
So difficult choices need to be made among many
diversity factors. Not only on admission,
but also on recruitment.
The worst type of diversity is the one where there is no empathy to discuss it.
They can point to matters in their favor, such as the large fraction
of applicants who choose not to provide their race/ethnic data, or the many random differences they find in the
concentrations (majors) and other national population data, split among race/ethnicities. In court they will likely defend their
personality score, including adjustments for
athletes and legacy students. Good luck with that...
Personality is important. These
are also 17-year olds. How can anyone really know what they are supposed to look for, when scoring this? They can't. This case center on whether personality is filling gaps in the admissions process, and if there are downsides. Academic performance and extracurriculars also matter, so it will be of interest to see the public discourse over what new information the personality variable provides.
So yes there are many moving parts and Harvard will
have a chance to explain this in court. This might allow for a fresh perspective to be recognized, from all parties. At best, they will look absurd.
In order to asses this comprehensively, one also has to include the collective role of the candidates from the "feeder" schools as a factor -- indeed as a factor that will gain importance as discovery moves forward. The "defendant" schools will eventually include the track records of matriculated and graduated students from the feeder schools as a basis to admit/deny candidates. In effect, this pushes any arguments about ethnic bias/racism down to the admissions processes at the prep schools and conveniently out of the scope of colleges and universities that are experiencing criticism for this alleged bias. As a fictional example, an admissions committee can argue that prior admitted students from xyz high school/prep school have not done as well historically as have admitted students from other high schools/prep schools, and that can be justification for denial of admittance. What are the demographics of the elite prep and feeder schools into the defendant colleges and universities?
ReplyDeleteThank you for excellent blog by the way. I appreciate the work you put into it.
interesting view! my nephews all graduated from Philipps Academy, perhaps the top of the prep schools, and noticed at their graduations perhaps about the same % of Asians as the % noticed when attending Harvard. not making a scientific commentary, just a small personal observation.
Deletea pendulum perhaps
ReplyDelete