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Monday, October 23, 2017

Ignorance, and mass exterminations

Among the great tragedies through human history, we have the mass extermination of innocent and marginalized lives, by those ignorant and more powerful.  Popular segmentations of people are created based upon gender, and over time almost always based upon religion and race.  There is scholarly debate whether Neanderthals themselves were subject to the first violent genocide, though the term “genocide” (as opposed to mass murder, extermination, gendercide, etc.) would only be coined in the last century. Raphael Lemkin’s first application was on the 13th century Albigensian Crusade, ordered by Pope Innocent III.  Fast forward to 2017; a toxic and highly polarized political environment around the world.  President Trump’s advisor and former hedge fund CEO Anthony Scaramucci has established a new media outlet in the past month, and one of his first controversies seems to be a social media poll asking the number of Jews killed in the Holocaust (link, link).  Was this the correct audience for such a poll?  Was it scientifically designed?  As an executive member of the Trump campaign, Scaramucci is aware that I am a polling expert.  He oft-times solicited and shared my polling analysis throughout October of last year; we proved to millions that all the mainstream media polls (which all showed Hillary winning) were completely bogus (link, link).  But this article focuses less on his particular polling design, and rather the idea of why we need to heed close attention to the magnitude of these historic tragedies so that we can have a more productive life with less chance of repeating these dark tendencies from our past.  We discuss the powerful impact of genocides on an ocean of mourners, whose size is even larger than those who paid the ultimate price during these painful butcherings.


Going back thousands of years before Jesus, we have had mass violence events nearly every decade.  This website had documented many of the mortality actuarial statistics from the same.  For genocides, we think of them as sizeable killings of innocents based on prejudice and hate.  And their statistics are significant, contemporaneously for the given sub-population of people.  The categorization and census of these deaths are increasingly foggy the further back in time we go, or if we consider regions where the evidence has been purposefully obfuscated.  Statistics become biased and open to suspicion when we use varying external and secondary sources, presented by those who may have access to investigative evidence or political agendas.  Still, this should be no excuse to subterfuge that indeed many of these events have occurred, and incredulously have repeatedly reached every continent on this planet! 

In America too.  Why did so many Native Americans die for example, after the Europeans arrived?  Explicit killings, war, lack of immunizations, some combination of all of them.  President Lincoln also authorized mass killings of rebelling, indigenous natives who wanted to be free.

Now the probability of being killed at a global level is somewhat stable (at a low yet unacceptable rate) over time.  During World War II however it jumped by nearly ½!  The multiplier only becomes a little worse when we drill into national-level data, through history.  Soviets and Poles for example, took a disproportionate brunt of military and civilian demises during the 1940s.  German Nazis of course suffered less.  Yet during most genocides from recent centuries, the Holocaust among them, the mortality rate in the effected region was a few times greater.  That’s a stunning level of hatred indoctrination.  And we live in an volatile world where it doesn’t take much to have another sudden outbreak, which tips the mortality scales yet again. 

While the death rate from genocides have fallen by nearly 90% (albeit chaotically) since the 1940s, the population has only quadrupled.  And so, on a global scale, the number of people killed in genocides is now annually less than ½ what they were during the 1940s (Nazi, Soviet and Japanese genocides combined).  The violent scars though on the oft-times tens of millions of victims throughout the world, leave generational impact.  For example, while the rest of the world has been able to grow without these mutilations, simply replacing the number of Jews lost in the Holocaust (to pre-war Western European levels) has taken nearly this entire time since then!  More Jews were killed during World War II, then were Germans.

We are on the cusp of our perilous new awakening.  Returning to a state of explicit discrimination (link, link), acceptance of hate symbols, creation of second-class citizens who some wish an inferior life, and the denial by some that we were ever capable of abolishing our collective humanity.  A slippery slope instead can reverse the flow of these historical death statistics.  The tail risk is that we have just one of the top dozen, most-populated countries (many of whom have violent unrest both internally and with neighbors), execute on this growing hate ideology. 

We were always just fortunate to have escaped the genocides we saw in an awesome way during World War II.  We sometimes hope to be blind that they occurred by our ancestors, just a couple generations ago.  And we ignore it when it happens right now to the families of minorities, or on a smaller scale in some nation around the world.  All of us are put on this Earth as a miracle.  We owe it to all of us to live out our full potential and not let things get detached from a state of fairness and equality.  See commonality and love for our fellow humans, just as you would want towards yourself. 

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