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Saturday, April 28, 2018

23andMe,andPolice

While we last week rejoice over the take down of the infamous Golden State Killer (a former police officer to boot and a 40-year old coldest of all cases), the devious methods used expose now more of a perilous slope for society. If you are enjoying genealogy sites (Ancestry, 23andMe, Family Tree DNA, etc.), then you may as well be once-again foolishly showasing your personal data to the FBI and police.  So that they will more easily falsely match you and your family for all sorts of crimes, and burden your life.  And the probability of this occurring (of course assuming you are truly 100% innocent) is far greater than you think, or should expect!  Put differently, there is a greater than a ½ chance that most minorities from a large family would have someone in their family experience this aggravation in their lifetime.


Please see our online calculator and share the same with your family and friends to discover this for yourself.  You can select the probability associated to the "number of loci" DNA match.  Additionally you can handicap the crime match to reflect other defensive factors (e.g., alibis, location, gender, age, family ethnicity, etc.)  Finally we include the highly relevant crime index of how many crimes occur to begin with in your applicable geography; far more relevant than the population of your metropolitan area.

Enjoy this, and scroll the window below to see the last users assumptions.




Good luck safeguarding your information; as you will discover in the current era this is equivalent to safeguarding yourself!

2 comments:

  1. What does "falsely" matched mean? Are you saying the person's DNA did not exist at a crime scene?

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    1. Thanks; it means that obviously not a unique amount of DNA truly existed at the crime scene (this is true in most cases), yet they will still be able to suspect someone who willingly provided their DNA with enough of a match. And this risk will easily occur in high-crime locations such as Chicago, where for each DNA "discovered" at the crime scene, there will remain scores of other people with the same level of match who will remain invisible if they never voluntarily used genealogical sites (which is how the GoldenStateKiller remained elusive up to this point.)

      May add a poll to this thread soon: https://twitter.com/salilstatistics/status/990315171548721153

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