The first woman U.S. president

A dazzling topic after the celebrated but star-crossed 2016 candidate lost in her 2nd bid to make America whole.  If Hillary Clinton -senselessly billed as “the most qualified candidate ever”- can’t win, then what chance is there for any woman to win this top job?  Should we just accuse everyone of being haters, to account for our own multitude of shortcomings?  Despite her recent and insolent comments there isn’t some forcible blockade that prevents women from rising to the top.  Women and minorities have attained top positions all over the world, throughout recent decades.  Sure the odds of achieving this hyper-success are worse, but the odds are NOT ZERO and they are heartlessly low for everyone!  And the worse odds here are mostly not a function of discrimination.  Everyone has biases (men and women), and all of us learn to succeed through that.  In the end (and it is the end for her specifically), luck and emotional stability are the largest factors that explain why one person succeeds versus another equally talented individual.  At the same time, any success or failure of someone at that level is statistically disconnected from overall discrimination the ocean of people face at the bottom of the pyramid.  A decent chunk of this country was emotionally invested in wanting Hillary Clinton to represent their dreams for a better life.  Perfectly understandable, and we obviously empathize with them.  I personally stayed out of this until asked to help in the final month.  It’s important to be clear again though, that her outcome is unrelated to the enormous personal success you will still enjoy throughout your life.  Elections come and go, and like the stochastic nature of the stock market, a recent trend in elections unquestionably doesn’t predict all future elections.  It is clear to me as a probabilist who often publishes correct forecasts and critiques of other pundits, that we will see an impressively talented woman in the White House, though it will take some time (this is not an incessant entitlement: and elections and interested women candidates don’t come around every day).  It’s likely a bright young woman right now -a philosopher and romantic- but someone the world has yet to consider.  Don’t hold your breath and despair in the meantime, as it will not happen during the lifetime of a >1/3 of the people reading this.  But for the 60-70% of the blessed others, they will see this at least once during this century.  Respect your female friends and your daughters; there is a world-class, muscular leader is in our midst.  Strong constellations who will make us all proud across a range of faculties including spearheading government.  It may be someone reading this article.

Which takes us back to this whole immature argument about why Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.  Again, this is the wrong question!  White women voted didn’t care to vote for this candidate who looked like them, and Black&Latino men were still good with it.  And then we have the sore issue that -this go around- a lot fewer minority women voted for the Democratic Party vs in 2012, even though in the same 2016 year they handily voted for Hillary Clinton instead of her entertaining male rival, Bernie Sanders.  For our dossier of polling math, see here.